Volatility strategy · Scenario Lab
Market outlook Large move either way
In-the-money call and put create two-sided volatility. Use the lab to see how the position responds before committing to a single forecast.
Scenario Lab
Move the underlying, clock, and implied volatility independently. Values before expiration use a Black–Scholes estimate; expiration values use intrinsic payoff.
The catalog’s default strikes and premiums are illustrative. No ticker lookup or market data is used.
Position valuation
Adjust the assumptions above to see the modelled P/L shape move. Green is profit; red is loss.
| Underlying | Today | 30 days | 14 days | 7 days | Expiration |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -15% — | — | — | — | — | — |
| -10% — | — | — | — | — | — |
| -5% — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 0% — | — | — | — | — | — |
| +5% — | — | — | — | — | — |
| +10% — | — | — | — | — | — |
| +20% — | — | — | — | — | — |
At expiration
Time value has gone to zero. IV no longer changes the result.
| Underlying | Move | P/L |
|---|---|---|
| — | -15% | — |
| — | -10% | — |
| — | -5% | — |
| — | 0% | — |
| — | +5% | — |
| — | +10% | — |
| — | +20% | — |
Model boundary: theoretical estimates use dividend-adjusted Black–Scholes for European exercise or a 100-step binomial estimate for American exercise. Fees, spreads, discrete dividend dates, early assignment behavior, and liquidity effects are excluded. Calculation, not advice.
Why this structure behaves this way
Deep in-the-money legs mean the position carries the same directional-neutral, long-gamma, long-vega profile as a straddle, but at a much higher premium outlay and correspondingly larger dollar theta decay.
This page uses the catalog’s illustrative default legs so you can compare direction, time, and volatility effects in one place. Edit the assumptions above to test a different starting point.