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Bearish strategy · Scenario Lab

Test a Bear Put Ladder across possible paths

Market outlook Moderately bearish

Bear put spread with additional short put. Use the lab to see how the position responds before committing to a single forecast.

Scenario Lab

See how the position changes

Move the underlying, clock, and implied volatility independently. Values before expiration use a Black–Scholes estimate; expiration values use intrinsic payoff.

Buy put 1
Sell put 2
Sell put 3

The catalog’s default strikes and premiums are illustrative. No ticker lookup or market data is used.

Selected scenario
Estimated P/L before expiration by underlying move and time remaining
UnderlyingToday30 days14 days7 daysExpiration
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
+5%
+10%
+20%
IV lens

At expiration

Intrinsic payoff checkpoints

Time value has gone to zero. IV no longer changes the result.

Profit or loss at expiration
UnderlyingMoveP/L
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
+5%
+10%
+20%

Model boundary: theoretical estimates use dividend-adjusted Black–Scholes for European exercise or a 100-step binomial estimate for American exercise. Fees, spreads, discrete dividend dates, early assignment behavior, and liquidity effects are excluded. Calculation, not advice.

Why this structure behaves this way

Bear Put Ladder is shaped by negative delta and short vega exposure

The two short puts outweigh the single long put, leaving net short gamma and vega below the short strikes. Delta starts negative near the long strike and fades toward positive if the stock breaks below the lower short strike.

This page uses the catalog’s illustrative default legs so you can compare direction, time, and volatility effects in one place. Edit the assumptions above to test a different starting point.